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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 21 Mar 2026

20:00

Venue

Elland Road

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brentford Win

31%

Leeds

3.21

28%

Draw

3.58

41%

Brentford

2.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

0 – 1

8.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Leeds xG

Total xG

2.92

1.57

Brentford xG

31%
28%
41%
LeedsDrawBrentford

3.21

31%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

2.45

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.52

Clean Sheet

21%

Leeds

4.79

26%

Brentford

3.85

Win to Nil

7%

Leeds

15.38

11%

Brentford

9.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 8.5 6.7 3.5 1.4 0.4
1 7.3 11.4 9.0 4.7 1.8 0.6
2 4.9 7.7 6.0 3.2 1.2 0.4
3 2.2 3.5 2.7 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.348
λ Away (xG) 1.567
Total xG 2.915
League avg home goals 1.399
League avg away goals 1.255
Leeds attack strength 0.906
Leeds defence strength 1.126
Brentford attack strength 1.109
Brentford defence strength 1.063
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 68