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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Leeds Win
38%
2.61
30%
3.38
32%
3.11
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
13.4%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.4%
Draw
0 – 1
11.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.13
Leeds xG
Total xG
2.13
1.01
Aston Villa xG
LeedsDrawAston Villa
2.61
38%
Home win
3.38
30%
Draw
3.11
32%
Away win
Goals Markets
63%
Over 1.5
1.59
37%
Under 1.5
2.70
36%
Over 2.5
2.78
64%
Under 2.5
1.56
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.33
57%
BTTS No
1.75
Clean Sheet
37%
2.73
32%
3.09
Win to Nil
14%
7.14
10%
9.61
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.8 | 11.9 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.4 | 13.4 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.5 | 7.6 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.127
λ Away (xG)
1.006
Total xG
2.133
League avg home goals
1.545
League avg away goals
1.172
Leeds attack strength
0.843
Leeds defence strength
1.041
Aston Villa attack strength
0.825
Aston Villa defence strength
0.866
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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