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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Portman Road

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newcastle Win

21%

Ipswich

4.76

27%

Draw

3.67

52%

Newcastle

1.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

1 – 2

9.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Ipswich xG

Total xG

2.72

1.70

Newcastle xG

21%
27%
52%
IpswichDrawNewcastle

4.76

21%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

1.93

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

18%

Ipswich

5.47

36%

Newcastle

2.77

Win to Nil

4%

Ipswich

26.05

19%

Newcastle

5.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 11.2 9.5 5.4 2.3 0.8
1 6.7 11.4 9.7 5.5 2.3 0.8
2 3.4 5.8 4.9 2.8 1.2 0.4
3 1.2 2.0 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.018
λ Away (xG) 1.700
Total xG 2.718
League avg home goals 1.624
League avg away goals 1.442
Ipswich attack strength 0.598
Ipswich defence strength 1.116
Newcastle attack strength 1.057
Newcastle defence strength 1.048
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 54