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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Thu 16 Jan 2025

19:30

Venue

Portman Road

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brighton Win

22%

Ipswich

4.61

28%

Draw

3.54

50%

Brighton

2.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

1 – 2

9.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Ipswich xG

Total xG

2.79

1.71

Brighton xG

22%
28%
50%
IpswichDrawBrighton

4.61

22%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

2.00

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

18%

Ipswich

5.53

34%

Brighton

2.93

Win to Nil

4%

Ipswich

25.49

17%

Brighton

5.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 10.6 9.0 5.1 2.2 0.8
1 6.6 11.3 9.7 5.5 2.4 0.8
2 3.6 6.1 5.2 3.0 1.3 0.4
3 1.3 2.2 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.075
λ Away (xG) 1.710
Total xG 2.785
League avg home goals 1.464
League avg away goals 1.498
Ipswich attack strength 0.674
Ipswich defence strength 1.099
Brighton attack strength 1.038
Brighton defence strength 1.090
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 58