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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 22 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Craven Cottage

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fulham Win

55%

Fulham

1.82

28%

Draw

3.62

17%

Southampton

5.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Fulham xG

Total xG

2.55

0.86

Southampton xG

55%
28%
17%
FulhamDrawSouthampton

1.82

55%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

5.78

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

42%

Fulham

2.37

19%

Southampton

5.39

Win to Nil

23%

Fulham

4.30

3%

Southampton

31.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 6.8 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 13.2 11.4 4.9 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.1 9.6 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 6.2 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.1
4 2.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.684
λ Away (xG) 0.862
Total xG 2.546
League avg home goals 1.596
League avg away goals 1.483
Fulham attack strength 0.990
Fulham defence strength 1.068
Southampton attack strength 0.544
Southampton defence strength 1.066
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 16