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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

Craven Cottage

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fulham Win

45%

Fulham

2.21

27%

Draw

3.74

28%

Chelsea

3.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Fulham xG

Total xG

2.54

1.09

Chelsea xG

45%
27%
28%
FulhamDrawChelsea

2.21

45%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

3.55

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

34%

Fulham

2.97

23%

Chelsea

4.27

Win to Nil

15%

Fulham

6.59

7%

Chelsea

15.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 8.6 4.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 11.4 12.5 6.8 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 8.3 9.0 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.0 4.4 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.5 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.452
λ Away (xG) 1.090
Total xG 2.542
League avg home goals 1.484
League avg away goals 1.422
Fulham attack strength 1.010
Fulham defence strength 0.945
Chelsea attack strength 0.811
Chelsea defence strength 0.969
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70