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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Everton Win
63%
1.60
21%
4.72
16%
6.17
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
11.4%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
11.2%
Home win
1 – 1
10.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.96
Everton xG
Total xG
2.84
0.88
Southampton xG
EvertonDrawSouthampton
1.60
63%
Home win
4.72
21%
Draw
6.17
16%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
54%
Over 2.5
1.85
46%
Under 2.5
2.17
32%
Over 3.5
3.12
68%
Under 3.5
1.47
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
1.98
50%
BTTS No
2.02
Clean Sheet
41%
2.42
14%
7.11
Win to Nil
26%
3.86
2%
43.81
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 11.4 | 10.1 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 11.2 | 9.9 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.3 | 6.5 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.961
λ Away (xG)
0.883
Total xG
2.844
League avg home goals
1.428
League avg away goals
1.386
Everton attack strength
0.968
Everton defence strength
0.996
Southampton attack strength
0.639
Southampton defence strength
1.418
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
74 / 36