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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

Goodison Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Everton Win

56%

Everton

1.80

26%

Draw

3.89

19%

Leicester

5.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

Everton xG

Total xG

2.69

0.93

Leicester xG

56%
26%
19%
EvertonDrawLeicester

1.80

56%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

5.37

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

39%

Everton

2.54

17%

Leicester

5.80

Win to Nil

22%

Everton

4.57

3%

Leicester

31.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 6.3 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 11.9 11.1 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.5 9.8 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.1 5.7 2.7 0.8 0.2
4 2.7 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.758
λ Away (xG) 0.933
Total xG 2.691
League avg home goals 1.489
League avg away goals 1.553
Everton attack strength 0.829
Everton defence strength 0.781
Leicester attack strength 0.769
Leicester defence strength 1.423
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 23