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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Chelsea Win
21%
4.70
27%
3.76
52%
1.92
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.9%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.1%
Away win
1 – 2
9.8%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.09
Everton xG
Total xG
2.88
1.79
Chelsea xG
EvertonDrawChelsea
4.70
21%
Home win
3.76
27%
Draw
1.92
52%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
55%
Over 2.5
1.82
45%
Under 2.5
2.22
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
57%
BTTS Yes
1.76
43%
BTTS No
2.32
Clean Sheet
17%
6.00
34%
2.97
Win to Nil
4%
28.17
18%
5.70
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 10.1 | 9.0 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| 1 | 6.1 | 10.9 | 9.8 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| 2 | 3.3 | 6.0 | 5.3 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.089
λ Away (xG)
1.791
Total xG
2.880
League avg home goals
1.388
League avg away goals
1.267
Everton attack strength
0.854
Everton defence strength
1.034
Chelsea attack strength
1.367
Chelsea defence strength
0.919
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
68 / 68