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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Selhurst Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crystal Palace Win

58%

Crystal Palace

1.73

24%

Draw

4.22

19%

Sunderland

5.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

2 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Crystal Palace xG

Total xG

2.58

0.86

Sunderland xG

58%
24%
19%
Crystal PalaceDrawSunderland

1.73

58%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

5.38

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

42%

Crystal Palace

2.37

18%

Sunderland

5.58

Win to Nil

24%

Crystal Palace

4.10

3%

Sunderland

29.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 6.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 13.0 11.2 4.8 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.2 9.6 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 6.4 5.5 2.4 0.7 0.1
4 2.8 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.719
λ Away (xG) 0.861
Total xG 2.580
League avg home goals 1.460
League avg away goals 1.229
Crystal Palace attack strength 0.973
Crystal Palace defence strength 0.990
Sunderland attack strength 0.708
Sunderland defence strength 1.210
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 3