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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Selhurst Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crystal Palace Win

43%

Crystal Palace

2.33

34%

Draw

2.90

23%

Southampton

4.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.8%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.0%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Crystal Palace xG

Total xG

2.04

0.82

Southampton xG

43%
34%
23%
Crystal PalaceDrawSouthampton

2.33

43%

Home win

2.90

34%

Draw

4.43

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.39

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

44%

Crystal Palace

2.28

30%

Southampton

3.38

Win to Nil

19%

Crystal Palace

5.30

7%

Southampton

14.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.0 10.7 4.4 1.2 0.2
1 15.8 13.0 5.4 1.5 0.3
2 9.6 7.9 3.3 0.9 0.2
3 3.9 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.218
λ Away (xG) 0.823
Total xG 2.041
League avg home goals 1.496
League avg away goals 1.458
Crystal Palace attack strength 0.823
Crystal Palace defence strength 1.116
Southampton attack strength 0.506
Southampton defence strength 0.989
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 18