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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 30 Nov 2025

12:00

Venue

Selhurst Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crystal Palace Win

48%

Crystal Palace

2.08

25%

Draw

4.00

27%

Manchester United

3.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Crystal Palace xG

Total xG

2.71

1.12

Manchester United xG

48%
25%
27%
Crystal PalaceDrawManchester United

2.08

48%

Home win

4.00

25%

Draw

3.70

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

32%

Crystal Palace

3.08

20%

Manchester United

4.88

Win to Nil

16%

Crystal Palace

6.42

6%

Manchester United

18.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 7.5 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 10.5 11.9 6.7 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.4 5.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.4 5.0 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.8 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.586
λ Away (xG) 1.125
Total xG 2.711
League avg home goals 1.551
League avg away goals 1.236
Crystal Palace attack strength 0.901
Crystal Palace defence strength 0.856
Manchester United attack strength 1.064
Manchester United defence strength 1.135
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50