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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Selhurst Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Liverpool Win

30%

Crystal Palace

3.29

28%

Draw

3.59

42%

Liverpool

2.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Crystal Palace xG

Total xG

2.48

1.36

Liverpool xG

30%
28%
42%
Crystal PalaceDrawLiverpool

3.29

30%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

2.40

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

26%

Crystal Palace

3.88

33%

Liverpool

3.06

Win to Nil

8%

Crystal Palace

12.76

14%

Liverpool

7.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 11.4 7.7 3.5 1.2 0.3
1 9.4 12.8 8.7 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.3 7.1 4.8 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.0 2.7 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.119
λ Away (xG) 1.356
Total xG 2.475
League avg home goals 1.382
League avg away goals 1.168
Crystal Palace attack strength 0.844
Crystal Palace defence strength 0.919
Liverpool attack strength 1.263
Liverpool defence strength 0.959
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43