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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 15 Mar 2026

14:00

Venue

Selhurst Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crystal Palace Win

37%

Crystal Palace

2.69

30%

Draw

3.39

33%

Leeds

3.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

0 – 1

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Crystal Palace xG

Total xG

2.60

1.26

Leeds xG

37%
30%
33%
Crystal PalaceDrawLeeds

2.69

37%

Home win

3.39

30%

Draw

3.00

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

28%

Crystal Palace

3.53

26%

Leeds

3.82

Win to Nil

11%

Crystal Palace

9.50

9%

Leeds

11.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 9.4 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.0 12.5 7.9 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.7 8.4 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.0 3.7 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.339
λ Away (xG) 1.260
Total xG 2.599
League avg home goals 1.386
League avg away goals 1.275
Crystal Palace attack strength 0.795
Crystal Palace defence strength 1.085
Leeds attack strength 0.910
Leeds defence strength 1.215
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 29