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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Selhurst Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bournemouth Win

37%

Crystal Palace

2.69

23%

Draw

4.41

40%

Bournemouth

2.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.4%

Away win

2 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Crystal Palace xG

Total xG

3.38

1.73

Bournemouth xG

37%
23%
40%
Crystal PalaceDrawBournemouth

2.69

37%

Home win

4.41

23%

Draw

2.49

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.50

33%

BTTS No

2.99

Clean Sheet

18%

Crystal Palace

5.64

19%

Bournemouth

5.23

Win to Nil

7%

Crystal Palace

15.20

8%

Bournemouth

13.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 5.9 5.1 2.9 1.3 0.4
1 5.6 9.7 8.4 4.8 2.1 0.7
2 4.6 8.0 6.9 4.0 1.7 0.6
3 2.6 4.4 3.8 2.2 1.0 0.3
4 1.1 1.8 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.655
λ Away (xG) 1.730
Total xG 3.385
League avg home goals 1.476
League avg away goals 1.429
Crystal Palace attack strength 1.025
Crystal Palace defence strength 0.985
Bournemouth attack strength 1.229
Bournemouth defence strength 1.094
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70