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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Wed 7 Jan 2026

19:30

Venue

Selhurst Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Aston Villa Win

28%

Crystal Palace

3.52

29%

Draw

3.48

43%

Aston Villa

2.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Crystal Palace xG

Total xG

2.77

1.54

Aston Villa xG

28%
29%
43%
Crystal PalaceDrawAston Villa

3.52

28%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

2.34

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

21%

Crystal Palace

4.68

29%

Aston Villa

3.41

Win to Nil

6%

Crystal Palace

16.47

13%

Aston Villa

7.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 9.7 7.5 3.8 1.5 0.5
1 7.7 11.9 9.2 4.7 1.8 0.6
2 4.7 7.3 5.6 2.9 1.1 0.3
3 1.9 3.0 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.227
λ Away (xG) 1.544
Total xG 2.771
League avg home goals 1.497
League avg away goals 1.257
Crystal Palace attack strength 0.731
Crystal Palace defence strength 0.986
Aston Villa attack strength 1.245
Aston Villa defence strength 1.121
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58