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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Thu 3 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Stamford Bridge

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chelsea Win

46%

Chelsea

2.15

24%

Draw

4.18

30%

Tottenham

3.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Chelsea xG

Total xG

2.98

1.30

Tottenham xG

46%
24%
30%
ChelseaDrawTottenham

2.15

46%

Home win

4.18

24%

Draw

3.37

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.45

Clean Sheet

27%

Chelsea

3.67

19%

Tottenham

5.38

Win to Nil

13%

Chelsea

7.89

6%

Tottenham

18.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 6.6 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.2
1 8.5 11.1 7.2 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.2 9.3 6.1 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 4.0 5.2 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.7 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.683
λ Away (xG) 1.299
Total xG 2.982
League avg home goals 1.418
League avg away goals 1.457
Chelsea attack strength 1.224
Chelsea defence strength 0.807
Tottenham attack strength 1.106
Tottenham defence strength 0.970
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67