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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Chelsea Win
65%
1.53
19%
5.15
15%
6.56
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
10.5%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
1 – 0
9.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.17
Chelsea xG
Total xG
3.11
0.94
Southampton xG
ChelseaDrawSouthampton
1.53
65%
Home win
5.15
19%
Draw
6.56
15%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
38%
Over 3.5
2.63
62%
Under 3.5
1.61
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.85
46%
BTTS No
2.18
Clean Sheet
39%
2.57
11%
8.74
Win to Nil
25%
3.93
2%
57.35
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 9.7 | 9.1 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.5 | 9.9 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.6 | 7.1 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.168
λ Away (xG)
0.943
Total xG
3.111
League avg home goals
1.490
League avg away goals
1.558
Chelsea attack strength
1.219
Chelsea defence strength
0.867
Southampton attack strength
0.698
Southampton defence strength
1.193
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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