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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 18 Apr 2026

20:00

Venue

Stamford Bridge

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester United Win

30%

Chelsea

3.32

28%

Draw

3.55

42%

Manchester United

2.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

0 – 1

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Chelsea xG

Total xG

2.99

1.63

Manchester United xG

30%
28%
42%
ChelseaDrawManchester United

3.32

30%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

2.40

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.62

Clean Sheet

20%

Chelsea

5.08

26%

Manchester United

3.90

Win to Nil

6%

Chelsea

16.88

11%

Manchester United

9.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 8.2 6.7 3.6 1.5 0.5
1 6.9 11.2 9.1 4.9 2.0 0.7
2 4.7 7.6 6.2 3.3 1.4 0.4
3 2.1 3.5 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.362
λ Away (xG) 1.626
Total xG 2.988
League avg home goals 1.381
League avg away goals 1.251
Chelsea attack strength 0.930
Chelsea defence strength 1.127
Manchester United attack strength 1.153
Manchester United defence strength 1.060
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70