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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Chelsea Win
59%
1.70
22%
4.60
19%
5.17
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.2%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
9.9%
Home win
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.95
Chelsea xG
Total xG
2.98
1.03
Manchester United xG
ChelseaDrawManchester United
1.70
59%
Home win
4.60
22%
Draw
5.17
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
57%
Over 2.5
1.75
43%
Under 2.5
2.33
35%
Over 3.5
2.86
65%
Under 3.5
1.54
18%
Over 4.5
5.56
82%
Under 4.5
1.22
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
55%
BTTS Yes
1.81
45%
BTTS No
2.23
Clean Sheet
36%
2.79
14%
7.06
Win to Nil
21%
4.74
3%
36.47
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 9.9 | 10.2 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.7 | 9.9 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.954
λ Away (xG)
1.027
Total xG
2.981
League avg home goals
1.433
League avg away goals
1.393
Chelsea attack strength
1.204
Chelsea defence strength
0.752
Manchester United attack strength
0.981
Manchester United defence strength
1.132
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
74 / 74