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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Chelsea Win
81%
1.24
12%
8.31
7%
14.12
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
10.1%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 0
10.0%
Home win
2 – 1
8.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.98
Chelsea xG
Total xG
3.79
0.81
Leicester xG
ChelseaDrawLeicester
1.24
81%
Home win
8.31
12%
Draw
14.12
7%
Away win
Goals Markets
89%
Over 1.5
1.12
11%
Under 1.5
9.09
73%
Over 2.5
1.37
27%
Under 2.5
3.70
52%
Over 3.5
1.92
48%
Under 3.5
2.08
33%
Over 4.5
3.03
67%
Under 4.5
1.49
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
53%
BTTS Yes
1.90
47%
BTTS No
2.11
Clean Sheet
45%
2.24
5%
19.65
Win to Nil
36%
2.77
0%
–
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 1 | 6.8 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 10.1 | 8.1 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 10.0 | 8.1 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 7.4 | 6.0 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.978
λ Away (xG)
0.807
Total xG
3.785
League avg home goals
1.467
League avg away goals
1.494
Chelsea attack strength
1.331
Chelsea defence strength
0.828
Leicester attack strength
0.652
Leicester defence strength
1.525
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
65 / 27