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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 13 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

Stamford Bridge

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chelsea Win

62%

Chelsea

1.61

21%

Draw

4.75

17%

Ipswich

5.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Chelsea xG

Total xG

2.93

0.94

Ipswich xG

62%
21%
17%
ChelseaDrawIpswich

1.61

62%

Home win

4.75

21%

Draw

5.88

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

39%

Chelsea

2.55

14%

Ipswich

7.34

Win to Nil

24%

Chelsea

4.13

2%

Ipswich

43.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 5.0 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.6 10.0 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.6 9.9 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.1
3 7.0 6.6 3.1 1.0 0.2
4 3.5 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.994
λ Away (xG) 0.938
Total xG 2.932
League avg home goals 1.417
League avg away goals 1.436
Chelsea attack strength 1.174
Chelsea defence strength 0.725
Ipswich attack strength 0.901
Ipswich defence strength 1.199
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 31