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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Chelsea Win
46%
2.15
26%
3.83
27%
3.64
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.8%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.0%
Home win
2 – 1
9.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.59
Chelsea xG
Total xG
2.77
1.17
Crystal Palace xG
ChelseaDrawCrystal Palace
2.15
46%
Home win
3.83
26%
Draw
3.64
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
76%
Over 1.5
1.32
24%
Under 1.5
4.17
52%
Over 2.5
1.92
48%
Under 2.5
2.08
30%
Over 3.5
3.33
70%
Under 3.5
1.43
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
56%
BTTS Yes
1.80
44%
BTTS No
2.26
Clean Sheet
31%
3.23
20%
4.92
Win to Nil
14%
6.96
6%
17.92
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.3 | 7.4 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.0 | 11.8 | 6.9 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.0 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.2 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.593
λ Away (xG)
1.173
Total xG
2.766
League avg home goals
1.506
League avg away goals
1.320
Chelsea attack strength
1.068
Chelsea defence strength
0.863
Crystal Palace attack strength
1.030
Crystal Palace defence strength
0.990
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
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