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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

Stamford Bridge

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chelsea Win

45%

Chelsea

2.23

29%

Draw

3.41

26%

Brentford

3.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Chelsea xG

Total xG

2.88

1.23

Brentford xG

45%
29%
26%
ChelseaDrawBrentford

2.23

45%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

3.88

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

29%

Chelsea

3.41

19%

Brentford

5.25

Win to Nil

13%

Chelsea

7.59

5%

Brentford

20.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 6.9 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 9.3 11.4 7.0 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.7 9.4 5.8 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.2 5.2 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.8 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.2
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.658
λ Away (xG) 1.227
Total xG 2.885
League avg home goals 1.513
League avg away goals 1.240
Chelsea attack strength 1.016
Chelsea defence strength 0.963
Brentford attack strength 1.028
Brentford defence strength 1.079
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59