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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Chelsea Win
60%
1.65
24%
4.19
16%
6.40
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
10.8%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
10.7%
Home win
1 – 1
10.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.98
Chelsea xG
Total xG
2.90
0.93
Brentford xG
ChelseaDrawBrentford
1.65
60%
Home win
4.19
24%
Draw
6.40
16%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
56%
Over 2.5
1.79
44%
Under 2.5
2.27
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
53%
BTTS Yes
1.87
47%
BTTS No
2.15
Clean Sheet
40%
2.53
14%
7.22
Win to Nil
24%
4.18
2%
46.23
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 10.8 | 10.0 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.7 | 9.9 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.1 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.977
λ Away (xG)
0.927
Total xG
2.904
League avg home goals
1.637
League avg away goals
1.422
Chelsea attack strength
1.133
Chelsea defence strength
0.827
Brentford attack strength
0.788
Brentford defence strength
1.065
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
53 / 53