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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Wed 7 Jan 2026

20:15

Venue

Turf Moor

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester United Win

18%

Burnley

5.55

27%

Draw

3.73

55%

Manchester United

1.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.5%

Away win

1 – 2

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Burnley xG

Total xG

2.87

1.86

Manchester United xG

18%
27%
55%
BurnleyDrawManchester United

5.55

18%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

1.81

55%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

16%

Burnley

6.44

36%

Manchester United

2.75

Win to Nil

3%

Burnley

35.74

20%

Manchester United

4.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 10.5 9.8 6.1 2.8 1.1
1 5.7 10.6 9.9 6.2 2.9 1.1
2 2.9 5.4 5.0 3.1 1.4 0.5
3 1.0 1.8 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2
4 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.011
λ Away (xG) 1.863
Total xG 2.874
League avg home goals 1.504
League avg away goals 1.245
Burnley attack strength 0.649
Burnley defence strength 1.238
Manchester United attack strength 1.209
Manchester United defence strength 1.037
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 58