Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Amex Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Tottenham Win

34%

Brighton

2.96

26%

Draw

3.85

40%

Tottenham

2.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Brighton xG

Total xG

2.66

1.40

Tottenham xG

34%
26%
40%
BrightonDrawTottenham

2.96

34%

Home win

3.85

26%

Draw

2.49

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

25%

Brighton

4.04

28%

Tottenham

3.53

Win to Nil

8%

Brighton

11.95

11%

Tottenham

8.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 9.8 6.8 3.2 1.1 0.3
1 8.8 12.3 8.6 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.6 7.8 5.4 2.5 0.9 0.2
3 2.3 3.3 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.260
λ Away (xG) 1.397
Total xG 2.657
League avg home goals 1.373
League avg away goals 1.152
Brighton attack strength 1.115
Brighton defence strength 1.003
Tottenham attack strength 1.209
Tottenham defence strength 0.823
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42