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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Amex Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brighton Win

57%

Brighton

1.74

24%

Draw

4.22

19%

Sunderland

5.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Brighton xG

Total xG

2.60

0.87

Sunderland xG

57%
24%
19%
BrightonDrawSunderland

1.74

57%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

5.31

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

42%

Brighton

2.39

18%

Sunderland

5.60

Win to Nil

24%

Brighton

4.16

3%

Sunderland

29.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 6.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 12.8 11.2 4.9 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.1 9.7 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 6.4 5.5 2.4 0.7 0.2
4 2.7 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.723
λ Away (xG) 0.873
Total xG 2.596
League avg home goals 1.573
League avg away goals 1.304
Brighton attack strength 1.160
Brighton defence strength 1.098
Sunderland attack strength 0.610
Sunderland defence strength 0.944
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 16