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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Brighton Win
40%
2.51
23%
4.39
37%
2.68
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.8%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.4%
Home win
1 – 2
8.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.71
Brighton xG
Total xG
3.36
1.65
Newcastle xG
BrightonDrawNewcastle
2.51
40%
Home win
4.39
23%
Draw
2.68
37%
Away win
Goals Markets
85%
Over 1.5
1.18
15%
Under 1.5
6.67
65%
Over 2.5
1.54
35%
Under 2.5
2.86
43%
Over 3.5
2.33
57%
Under 3.5
1.75
25%
Over 4.5
4.00
75%
Under 4.5
1.33
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
66%
BTTS Yes
1.51
34%
BTTS No
2.96
Clean Sheet
19%
5.21
18%
5.55
Win to Nil
8%
13.06
7%
14.86
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.5 | 5.7 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 5.9 | 9.8 | 8.1 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 5.1 | 8.4 | 6.9 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 2.9 | 4.8 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.713
λ Away (xG)
1.651
Total xG
3.364
League avg home goals
1.473
League avg away goals
1.399
Brighton attack strength
1.058
Brighton defence strength
1.122
Newcastle attack strength
1.053
Newcastle defence strength
1.099
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
72 / 72