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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Mon 19 May 2025

20:00

Venue

American Express Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Liverpool Win

31%

Brighton

3.26

22%

Draw

4.53

47%

Liverpool

2.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

2 – 1

7.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Brighton xG

Total xG

3.44

1.92

Liverpool xG

31%
22%
47%
BrightonDrawLiverpool

3.26

31%

Home win

4.53

22%

Draw

2.12

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.50

33%

BTTS No

2.99

Clean Sheet

15%

Brighton

6.81

22%

Liverpool

4.56

Win to Nil

5%

Brighton

22.20

10%

Liverpool

9.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 6.2 5.9 3.8 1.8 0.7
1 4.9 9.4 9.0 5.8 2.8 1.1
2 3.7 7.1 6.8 4.4 2.1 0.8
3 1.9 3.6 3.4 2.2 1.1 0.4
4 0.7 1.4 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.517
λ Away (xG) 1.919
Total xG 3.436
League avg home goals 1.430
League avg away goals 1.371
Brighton attack strength 1.041
Brighton defence strength 1.074
Liverpool attack strength 1.303
Liverpool defence strength 1.019
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74