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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

American Express Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brighton Win

60%

Brighton

1.67

23%

Draw

4.37

17%

Leicester

5.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.7%

Home win

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

Brighton xG

Total xG

2.61

0.83

Leicester xG

60%
23%
17%
BrightonDrawLeicester

1.67

60%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

5.87

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

44%

Brighton

2.29

17%

Leicester

5.96

Win to Nil

26%

Brighton

3.81

3%

Leicester

34.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 6.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
1 13.1 10.8 4.5 1.2 0.3
2 11.7 9.7 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 6.9 5.8 2.4 0.7 0.1
4 3.1 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.785
λ Away (xG) 0.828
Total xG 2.613
League avg home goals 1.436
League avg away goals 1.419
Brighton attack strength 0.932
Brighton defence strength 0.980
Leicester attack strength 0.595
Leicester defence strength 1.334
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 31