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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Amex Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brighton Win

40%

Brighton

2.50

24%

Draw

4.11

36%

Fulham

2.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Brighton xG

Total xG

2.99

1.45

Fulham xG

40%
24%
36%
BrightonDrawFulham

2.50

40%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

2.80

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

23%

Brighton

4.26

21%

Fulham

4.68

Win to Nil

9%

Brighton

10.66

8%

Fulham

13.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 7.3 5.3 2.5 0.9 0.3
1 7.7 11.2 8.1 3.9 1.4 0.4
2 6.0 8.7 6.3 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 3.1 4.5 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.2 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.544
λ Away (xG) 1.449
Total xG 2.993
League avg home goals 1.502
League avg away goals 1.357
Brighton attack strength 1.058
Brighton defence strength 1.041
Fulham attack strength 1.026
Fulham defence strength 0.971
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38