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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

American Express Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brighton Win

46%

Brighton

2.20

33%

Draw

2.99

21%

Everton

4.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

12.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Brighton xG

Total xG

2.08

0.80

Everton xG

46%
33%
21%
BrightonDrawEverton

2.20

46%

Home win

2.99

33%

Draw

4.75

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.38

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

45%

Brighton

2.23

28%

Everton

3.60

Win to Nil

20%

Brighton

4.89

6%

Everton

17.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5 10.0 4.0 1.1 0.2
1 16.0 12.8 5.1 1.4 0.3
2 10.2 8.2 3.3 0.9 0.2
3 4.4 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.280
λ Away (xG) 0.800
Total xG 2.080
League avg home goals 1.453
League avg away goals 1.577
Brighton attack strength 0.912
Brighton defence strength 0.900
Everton attack strength 0.563
Everton defence strength 0.966
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 59