Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 27 Dec 2024

19:30

Venue

American Express Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brighton Win

45%

Brighton

2.23

28%

Draw

3.62

28%

Brentford

3.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Brighton xG

Total xG

3.03

1.32

Brentford xG

45%
28%
28%
BrightonDrawBrentford

2.23

45%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

3.61

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

27%

Brighton

3.74

18%

Brentford

5.54

Win to Nil

12%

Brighton

8.36

5%

Brentford

20.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 6.4 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 8.3 10.9 7.2 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.3 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.0 5.3 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.7 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.712
λ Away (xG) 1.319
Total xG 3.031
League avg home goals 1.526
League avg away goals 1.476
Brighton attack strength 1.009
Brighton defence strength 1.132
Brentford attack strength 0.789
Brentford defence strength 1.111
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55