🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Brighton Win
56%
1.77
23%
4.31
20%
4.91
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
11.3%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.0%
Draw
2 – 0
10.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.78
Brighton xG
Total xG
2.75
0.97
Aston Villa xG
BrightonDrawAston Villa
1.77
56%
Home win
4.31
23%
Draw
4.91
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
76%
Over 1.5
1.32
24%
Under 1.5
4.17
52%
Over 2.5
1.92
48%
Under 2.5
2.08
30%
Over 3.5
3.33
70%
Under 3.5
1.43
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.93
48%
BTTS No
2.07
Clean Sheet
38%
2.64
17%
5.94
Win to Nil
21%
4.68
3%
29.15
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 11.3 | 11.0 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.1 | 9.8 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.0 | 5.8 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.782
λ Away (xG)
0.972
Total xG
2.754
League avg home goals
1.437
League avg away goals
1.463
Brighton attack strength
1.051
Brighton defence strength
0.820
Aston Villa attack strength
0.809
Aston Villa defence strength
1.180
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
67 / 67