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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arsenal Win
18%
5.59
25%
4.01
57%
1.75
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 2
9.9%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.8%
Draw
0 – 2
9.2%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.08
Brighton xG
Total xG
3.10
2.02
Arsenal xG
BrightonDrawArsenal
5.59
18%
Home win
4.01
25%
Draw
1.75
57%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
38%
Over 3.5
2.63
62%
Under 3.5
1.61
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
59%
BTTS Yes
1.69
41%
BTTS No
2.45
Clean Sheet
13%
7.53
34%
2.95
Win to Nil
2%
42.12
19%
5.15
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5 | 9.1 | 9.2 | 6.2 | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| 1 | 4.9 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 6.7 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| 2 | 2.6 | 5.3 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.081
λ Away (xG)
2.019
Total xG
3.100
League avg home goals
1.467
League avg away goals
1.490
Brighton attack strength
0.920
Brighton defence strength
1.005
Arsenal attack strength
1.348
Arsenal defence strength
0.801
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
57 / 57