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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

14:00

Venue

Brentford Community Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brentford Win

54%

Brentford

1.84

24%

Draw

4.12

21%

Newcastle

4.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Brentford xG

Total xG

2.62

0.95

Newcastle xG

54%
24%
21%
BrentfordDrawNewcastle

1.84

54%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

4.68

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

39%

Brentford

2.59

19%

Newcastle

5.33

Win to Nil

21%

Brentford

4.76

4%

Newcastle

24.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 6.9 3.3 1.0 0.2
1 12.1 11.5 5.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 9.7 4.6 1.5 0.3 0.1
3 5.7 5.4 2.6 0.8 0.2
4 2.4 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.673
λ Away (xG) 0.951
Total xG 2.624
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.176
Brentford attack strength 1.166
Brentford defence strength 1.052
Newcastle attack strength 0.769
Newcastle defence strength 0.930
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48