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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

12:30

Venue

Brentford Community Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brentford Win

52%

Brentford

1.90

24%

Draw

4.12

23%

Manchester United

4.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

Brentford xG

Total xG

2.86

1.10

Manchester United xG

52%
24%
23%
BrentfordDrawManchester United

1.90

52%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

4.30

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

33%

Brentford

3.00

17%

Manchester United

5.81

Win to Nil

18%

Brentford

5.71

4%

Manchester United

25.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 6.3 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 10.1 11.1 6.1 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.8 5.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 5.2 5.7 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.3 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.759
λ Away (xG) 1.097
Total xG 2.856
League avg home goals 1.367
League avg away goals 1.169
Brentford attack strength 1.129
Brentford defence strength 1.070
Manchester United attack strength 0.877
Manchester United defence strength 1.139
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43