Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

14:00

Venue

Gtech Community Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brentford Win

41%

Brentford

2.43

25%

Draw

3.96

34%

Manchester United

2.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Brentford xG

Total xG

2.79

1.31

Manchester United xG

41%
25%
34%
BrentfordDrawManchester United

2.43

41%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

2.98

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

27%

Brentford

3.71

23%

Manchester United

4.38

Win to Nil

11%

Brentford

9.01

8%

Manchester United

13.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 8.1 5.3 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 9.1 11.9 7.8 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.7 8.8 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.3 4.3 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.478
λ Away (xG) 1.311
Total xG 2.789
League avg home goals 1.473
League avg away goals 1.399
Brentford attack strength 1.037
Brentford defence strength 1.064
Manchester United attack strength 0.881
Manchester United defence strength 0.968
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72