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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

16:30

Venue

Brentford Community Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

35%

Brentford

2.84

27%

Draw

3.70

38%

Manchester City

2.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

0 – 1

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Brentford xG

Total xG

2.86

1.46

Manchester City xG

35%
27%
38%
BrentfordDrawManchester City

2.84

35%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

2.65

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.44

Clean Sheet

23%

Brentford

4.30

25%

Manchester City

4.07

Win to Nil

8%

Brentford

12.20

9%

Manchester City

10.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 8.3 6.1 3.0 1.1 0.3
1 8.0 11.7 8.5 4.1 1.5 0.4
2 5.6 8.2 6.0 2.9 1.1 0.3
3 2.6 3.8 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.9 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.404
λ Away (xG) 1.459
Total xG 2.863
League avg home goals 1.461
League avg away goals 1.174
Brentford attack strength 1.204
Brentford defence strength 1.053
Manchester City attack strength 1.180
Manchester City defence strength 0.798
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44