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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Tue 14 Jan 2025

19:30

Venue

Gtech Community Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brentford Win

40%

Brentford

2.48

25%

Draw

4.03

35%

Manchester City

2.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.0%

Home win

1 – 2

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

Brentford xG

Total xG

3.75

1.80

Manchester City xG

40%
25%
35%
BrentfordDrawManchester City

2.48

40%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

2.87

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

52%

Over 3.5

1.92

48%

Under 3.5

2.08

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

73%

BTTS Yes

1.36

27%

BTTS No

3.74

Clean Sheet

16%

Brentford

6.07

14%

Manchester City

6.99

Win to Nil

7%

Brentford

15.04

5%

Manchester City

20.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4 4.3 3.8 2.3 1.0 0.4
1 4.6 8.3 7.5 4.5 2.0 0.7
2 4.5 8.0 7.2 4.4 2.0 0.7
3 2.9 5.2 4.7 2.8 1.3 0.5
4 1.4 2.5 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.944
λ Away (xG) 1.804
Total xG 3.748
League avg home goals 1.462
League avg away goals 1.507
Brentford attack strength 1.387
Brentford defence strength 1.197
Manchester City attack strength 1.000
Manchester City defence strength 0.959
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58