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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

15:00

Venue

Brentford Community Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brentford Win

47%

Brentford

2.13

31%

Draw

3.23

22%

Brighton

4.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Brentford xG

Total xG

2.55

1.01

Brighton xG

47%
31%
22%
BrentfordDrawBrighton

2.13

47%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

4.55

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

37%

Brentford

2.74

21%

Brighton

4.68

Win to Nil

17%

Brentford

5.82

5%

Brighton

21.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 7.9 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 12.0 12.1 6.1 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.4 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.8 4.8 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 1.8 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.544
λ Away (xG) 1.007
Total xG 2.551
League avg home goals 1.463
League avg away goals 1.274
Brentford attack strength 1.070
Brentford defence strength 0.874
Brighton attack strength 0.905
Brighton defence strength 0.986
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64