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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Gtech Community Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brighton Win

36%

Brentford

2.74

23%

Draw

4.26

40%

Brighton

2.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

2 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Brentford xG

Total xG

3.19

1.64

Brighton xG

36%
23%
40%
BrentfordDrawBrighton

2.74

36%

Home win

4.26

23%

Draw

2.50

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.74

Clean Sheet

19%

Brentford

5.13

21%

Brighton

4.73

Win to Nil

7%

Brentford

14.05

8%

Brighton

11.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 6.7 5.5 3.0 1.2 0.4
1 6.4 10.5 8.6 4.7 1.9 0.6
2 5.0 8.1 6.6 3.6 1.5 0.5
3 2.6 4.2 3.4 1.9 0.8 0.3
4 1.0 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.553
λ Away (xG) 1.635
Total xG 3.188
League avg home goals 1.476
League avg away goals 1.429
Brentford attack strength 0.888
Brentford defence strength 1.033
Brighton attack strength 1.108
Brighton defence strength 1.185
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70