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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Brentford Win
54%
1.85
21%
4.75
25%
4.03
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.4%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.0%
Draw
2 – 0
6.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.09
Brentford xG
Total xG
3.46
1.36
Aston Villa xG
BrentfordDrawAston Villa
1.85
54%
Home win
4.75
21%
Draw
4.03
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
67%
Over 2.5
1.49
33%
Under 2.5
3.03
45%
Over 3.5
2.22
55%
Under 3.5
1.82
27%
Over 4.5
3.70
73%
Under 4.5
1.37
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
65%
BTTS Yes
1.53
35%
BTTS No
2.88
Clean Sheet
26%
3.92
12%
8.09
Win to Nil
14%
7.23
3%
32.65
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 6.6 | 9.0 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.9 | 9.4 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.8 | 6.6 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.091
λ Away (xG)
1.365
Total xG
3.456
League avg home goals
1.482
League avg away goals
1.498
Brentford attack strength
1.087
Brentford defence strength
1.144
Aston Villa attack strength
0.797
Aston Villa defence strength
1.297
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
65 / 66