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Bournemouth vs Tottenham – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Thu 5 Dec 2024

20:15

Venue

Vitality Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Tottenham Win

33%

Bournemouth

3.03

28%

Draw

3.55

39%

Tottenham

2.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

0 – 1

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Bournemouth xG

Total xG

2.93

1.53

Tottenham xG

33%
28%
39%
BournemouthDrawTottenham

3.03

33%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

2.57

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.55

Clean Sheet

22%

Bournemouth

4.62

25%

Tottenham

4.04

Win to Nil

7%

Bournemouth

14.02

10%

Tottenham

10.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 8.2 6.3 3.2 1.2 0.4
1 7.5 11.5 8.8 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 5.2 8.0 6.1 3.1 1.2 0.4
3 2.4 3.7 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.396
λ Away (xG) 1.530
Total xG 2.926
League avg home goals 1.630
League avg away goals 1.395
Bournemouth attack strength 1.014
Bournemouth defence strength 0.879
Tottenham attack strength 1.249
Tottenham defence strength 0.844
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51