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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

Vitality Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

32%

Bournemouth

3.13

34%

Draw

2.93

34%

Nottingham Forest

2.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.6%

Away win

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Bournemouth xG

Total xG

2.17

1.10

Nottingham Forest xG

32%
34%
34%
BournemouthDrawNottingham Forest

3.13

32%

Home win

2.93

34%

Draw

2.95

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

33%

Bournemouth

3.01

34%

Nottingham Forest

2.90

Win to Nil

11%

Bournemouth

9.42

12%

Nottingham Forest

8.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 12.6 7.0 2.6 0.7 0.2
1 12.2 13.4 7.4 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 6.5 7.2 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.3 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.065
λ Away (xG) 1.103
Total xG 2.168
League avg home goals 1.453
League avg away goals 1.577
Bournemouth attack strength 0.880
Bournemouth defence strength 0.655
Nottingham Forest attack strength 1.067
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.833
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60