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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Vitality Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bournemouth Win

40%

Bournemouth

2.53

32%

Draw

3.15

29%

Crystal Palace

3.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Bournemouth xG

Total xG

2.50

1.14

Crystal Palace xG

40%
32%
29%
BournemouthDrawCrystal Palace

2.53

40%

Home win

3.15

32%

Draw

3.48

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

32%

Bournemouth

3.12

26%

Crystal Palace

3.92

Win to Nil

13%

Bournemouth

7.90

7%

Crystal Palace

13.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 9.3 5.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 11.2 12.7 7.2 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.6 8.7 4.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 3.5 4.0 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.2 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.366
λ Away (xG) 1.139
Total xG 2.505
League avg home goals 1.540
League avg away goals 1.518
Bournemouth attack strength 0.958
Bournemouth defence strength 0.750
Crystal Palace attack strength 1.001
Crystal Palace defence strength 0.926
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55