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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Vitality Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bournemouth Win

38%

Bournemouth

2.63

26%

Draw

3.82

36%

Chelsea

2.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Bournemouth xG

Total xG

2.63

1.29

Chelsea xG

38%
26%
36%
BournemouthDrawChelsea

2.63

38%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

2.80

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

27%

Bournemouth

3.64

26%

Chelsea

3.83

Win to Nil

10%

Bournemouth

9.56

9%

Chelsea

10.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 9.3 6.0 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 9.6 12.4 8.0 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.5 8.4 5.4 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 2.9 3.7 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.343
λ Away (xG) 1.292
Total xG 2.635
League avg home goals 1.532
League avg away goals 1.290
Bournemouth attack strength 0.961
Bournemouth defence strength 0.851
Chelsea attack strength 1.177
Chelsea defence strength 0.912
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52