Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Tue 3 Mar 2026

19:30

Venue

Vitality Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bournemouth Win

39%

Bournemouth

2.54

27%

Draw

3.67

33%

Brentford

2.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

8.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Bournemouth xG

Total xG

3.24

1.55

Brentford xG

39%
27%
33%
BournemouthDrawBrentford

2.54

39%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

2.99

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.96

Clean Sheet

21%

Bournemouth

4.71

19%

Brentford

5.40

Win to Nil

8%

Bournemouth

11.97

6%

Brentford

16.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 6.1 4.7 2.4 0.9 0.3
1 6.6 10.3 8.0 4.1 1.6 0.5
2 5.6 8.7 6.7 3.5 1.3 0.4
3 3.1 4.9 3.8 1.9 0.8 0.2
4 1.3 2.1 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.687
λ Away (xG) 1.549
Total xG 3.236
League avg home goals 1.447
League avg away goals 1.298
Bournemouth attack strength 1.015
Bournemouth defence strength 1.013
Brentford attack strength 1.178
Brentford defence strength 1.149
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66