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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 3 Jan 2026

17:30

Venue

Vitality Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Arsenal Win

29%

Bournemouth

3.44

34%

Draw

2.95

37%

Arsenal

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.1%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.91

Bournemouth xG

Total xG

1.96

1.06

Arsenal xG

29%
34%
37%
BournemouthDrawArsenal

3.44

29%

Home win

2.95

34%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.48

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

35%

Bournemouth

2.88

40%

Arsenal

2.47

Win to Nil

10%

Bournemouth

9.90

15%

Arsenal

6.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.1 14.9 7.9 2.8 0.7 0.2
1 12.7 13.4 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 5.8 6.1 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 1.7 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.905
λ Away (xG) 1.057
Total xG 1.962
League avg home goals 1.498
League avg away goals 1.225
Bournemouth attack strength 0.817
Bournemouth defence strength 0.827
Arsenal attack strength 1.043
Arsenal defence strength 0.740
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57